Ohio: Reality Punishes Polls And Those That Buy Into Them

It's almost laughable.

“In terms of absentee ballot requests, Republicans are hugely over-performing their 2008 levels, and the Democrats are underperforming compared to 2008, especially in the big counties,” he said. “What this means is that the polls are wrong. For weeks polls have shown an Obama lead ranging from 1 point to 8 points. But these absentee ballot requests reflect a huge enthusiasm gap among Democrats and Republicans, and I’m predicting a total shift from 2008.”

The smugness of the past is fading as their vaunted polls are punished by reality. I'm sure they will say  it's racism somehow.

SHOCKER: Ohioans Really Believe Romney A Viable Human

I love to watch people swoon over polls. Just as the military made up the bulk of the beginning of the anti-war movement leading up to the Vietnam War, today's campaign professionals know a pig in a poke when they see one, polls.

Such luminaries of the polling world as the New York Times and the Washington Post have been wrong so many times as to convince watchers to bet against them every time because the odds against being right. It's easy to bet against in-kind political contributions when they are transparent lies. That local news outlets simply pass on the lies is a given, especially in these cut-and-paste days of no reporting.

In the 2012 presidential campaign these same in-kind contributions are being made again all over the country and especially so here in Ohio where The Washington Post has Obama up by 8 points. Maybe in downtown Toledo where Obama should be up by 16 points if there were any people living in downtown Toledo.

The press in its herd mentality has been reporting on Romney's "worst week" as if it were true because that is what they do to help their guy. The week was so incredibly bad for Romney that Obama needs a +10 Democrat weight in the polling to have a slight edge, but it must be reported that Obama is up by 8 so that republicans get depressed and the Romney campaign must spend more money to counteract such lies. That is campaigning here in Ohio, Romney VS Obama and his lapdog media.

How to account for the massive crowds appearing at Romney, Paul or Romney/Paul rallies here in Ohio? Simple, in this "new" campaigning, voters don't believe the media nor their polls. In short, the voter knows they are being lied to because it is the new norm which they do not like, but accept as reality. They accept that they cannot change. They cannot change that they have no longer are a part of because the voter has left the mainstream Republican and Democrat process because they see it for what it is. Fixed. The old guard wants to control Romney, but with his pick of Ryan he quietly told them, "No, thank you." Now they take pot shots at him, his campaign and what he says.

Ohio believes Romney to be a decent man and a good candidate. Ohioans really believe Romney a viable human. They also believe he can beat Obama. I know I do.

Romney 48-Obama 43 With UPDATE

And this is the second daily which actually shows Romney pulling away. But.

Fools and rank amateurs have been screeching fool ass comments about this poll or that poll for weeks now. For the most part these morons don't even know what tabs are let alone know how to read them. They see an article, written by someone paid to state stupid things to gin up readership, stating this or that according to this poll or that poll and show their intelligence by saying something even more stupid than those they are quoting.

There is a difference in the way conservatives and liberals use polls. Conservatives use polls to not only gauge support or lack of support for issues, but also to test messaging. Liberals do this to a degree, but mainly use poll results, mostly skewed because they are push polls, to drive memes such as, "We're winning!" or some such nonsense.

Even political beginners know the worth of a poll that gauges yesterday's feelings. Others, not so much and they are the fools screaming the loudest. The election is more than 6 months away, but I will find great joy in continuing to identify who are the biggest fools of all.

UPDATE: Right on cue in the comments.

Game over...


Seriously, you can't make this stuff up.

Polls And Reporting Be Damned. America Is Feeling The Financial Heat Of Failure.

Everybody has a poll. Most polls are biased. At best they are simply a snapshot of the moment if they are done correctly. Reporters like pollsters let their bias seep into their stories and like polls their stories are at best snapshots of that point in time. In the end the polls and the reports are merely bias put to print.

Any lawmaker in a swing district can expect to take criticism from his right flank at a town hall meeting. But at an American Veterans outpost tucked deep in the Pocono Mountains this week, freshman Republican Rep. Lou Barletta took heat from every direction — from Democrats angry with the tax cuts in the GOP budget, to conservatives who thought he caved on the last continuing resolution vote, to a precocious 16-year-old critical of the lawmaker’s environmental record.

First Barletta was told “not to be steadfast in Paul Ryan’s Republican plan,” to “bend a little, work and come together to pass something that’s agreeable to everybody.” Moments later, another constituent told him, “I don’t want you to bend; I want you to stand firm” on spending, even if that means a national debt default.

Jimmy Carter allowed America to taste failure and he paid the price of defeat at the polls. Obama is facing the same problem and the problem for Obama is that the problems of his administration's doing are getting worse. People do not feel positive about their children's future and they even believe their immediate future is bleak.

Voters are giving congressmen hell. The left wants to protect their handouts. The right wants to cut. The left believes that government has a duty to give, not just protect, but give. The right doesn't believe in this.

It all doesn't mean anything because the left will lose their handouts and the right will see programs they like cut to the bone. These things may happen soon, which is doubtful, or they will happen after the next election, but they have to happen. We, as a nation, have spent ourselves into poverty which is a longer way of spelling debt.

Voters across the middle are getting incredibly angry over those things not in their control while the left is getting angry because Obama hasn't gone all the way to a government that does all and those on the right will say, "I told you so" because Obama is an abject failure as president.

Polls and news reporting cannot capture the reality because most have no desire to do so.